The curse of a slow moving market…
Let’s talk about one of the most frustrating environments for most traders.
I’m talking about when the market goes flat or even transitions from big, fast moves to slow, grinding moves.
Like it did from April through the current environment.
That’s a chart of the ATR, or “Average True Range” (the movement within the SPY) going DOWN to about 1/7th its previous average over the course of those 4 months.
Right now, SPY, QQQ, and the Dow are all stuck in incredibly tight ranges. In fact, since the July 3rd high — which we projected in the Opening Playbook as the most bullish day of the year, btw! — we’ve barely moved.
My market environment dashboard that has 30 parameters for market speed ranked only as a 6 out of 30 for the pace we’re on (aka slow)
This kind of low-volatility, low-momentum environment drives directional traders crazy.
Why? Because the longer you sit in a directional trade (like a call or a put), the more time decay eats away at your premium. If the market doesn’t move far enough in your direction fast enough, you’re bleeding from both ends — time and price.
But here’s the good news: there’s a smarter way to trade a flat market.
Instead of betting on a big directional move, I focus on defensive debit spreads that are designed to benefit from a lack of movement.
Say you buy a call option expecting SPY to climb.
You get the move… but volatility drops. That drop in implied volatility (IV) crushes the value of your option — even if price goes up.
In fact, if the VIX drops significantly during your trade, you may need double or triple the original price move just to break even. That’s a painful trade. And I see traders fall into that trap all the time when the market flattens out.
But if you are trading with a “line in the sand”, you don’t need the market to overcome some big, directional move. For example, I might buy a call debit spread on SPY with a short strike below the current price. That way, the stock doesn’t need to move at all for my trade to work. In fact, it can move slightly against me and I can still win.
That’s a massive edge.
And the best part? I set a GTC exit order when I enter the trade. If the stock makes even a small pop, the broker fills my target and I’m out with a profit — no screen watching required.
This is the same logic I use with my Weekend Options and Income Machine setups. Tight, clean trades with high probability in a low-volatility environment.
We’re still in a consolidation coil — and historically, these lead to explosive moves.
The key is not to predict the breakout direction but to structure trades that perform even if it doesn’t happen yet.
Because if we do break out? Great — we ride the momentum. But if we stay flat a little longer? Even better — our spread trades just keep doing their thing.
So if you’re frustrated with the lack of action lately, don’t fight it. Adapt to it. This market isn’t dead. It’s just waiting.
And the traders who know how to work the coil are going to be the ones sitting pretty when the next move hits.
Hope this helps,
— Nate Tucci
P.S. See setups like this and much more every weekday at 10am ET in the Opening Playbook. Don’t miss it!
