>>>Jeffry Turnmire is taking over Closing Playbook duties for the day at 3:30 PM ET — he’s teaching some technical analysis tips, a high-probability setup and the stats that give him the confidence to trade it consistently, and he’ll even show how to spot these setups, so be sure to join the fun!<<<
The calendar doesn’t lie when it comes to Bitcoin’s performance patterns. After years of tracking seasonal trends, I’ve identified a consistent weakness that savvy traders can exploit during the late summer months.
Look, if you’ve been paying attention to Bitcoin’s historical data, you know that August and September are consistently the worst performing months for the cryptocurrency.
This isn’t just market noise — it’s a reliable pattern that creates significant trading opportunities for those willing to position against the grain.
The Seasonal Setup That Changes Everything
Here’s what I tell my traders…
These are the months you don’t want to go long Bitcoin. If you’re a buy-and-hold investor, don’t touch it during this period. But if you’re actively trading, this seasonal weakness becomes your edge.
The data supports a bearish stance, and that’s exactly where I’m positioning right now.
Instead of fighting the seasonal headwinds, I’m looking to capitalize on them through strategic put positions. My preferred approach centers on iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) puts, specifically targeting debit spread orders to the downside or slightly out-of-the-money positions.
This strategy generated over 130% returns just last week in my Perfect Bitcoin program — proof that aligning with seasonal patterns pays off.
Execution Strategy for Maximum Impact
The beauty of this approach lies in its simplicity and effectiveness. Rather than trying to time exact tops or bottoms, I’m using the seasonal data as my primary signal.
When history shows consistent weakness during specific months, why fight it?
My focus remains on IBIT puts because they offer clean exposure to Bitcoin’s downside without the complexity of direct crypto trading. The options market provides excellent liquidity, and the risk-reward setup aligns perfectly with the seasonal expectations.
This isn’t about being permanently bearish on Bitcoin — it’s about respecting the seasonal patterns and positioning accordingly. When September ends and we move into traditionally stronger months, the strategy shifts.
But right now, the calendar is telling us to be defensive, and I’m listening.
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. This Setup Has Locked in a Sweet 83.2% Win Rate So Far in 2025!
Over the past few months, I’ve been showing regular traders like you how to go after an extra $500 or more every morning (with a $1k stake)…
Thanks to a special window most traders overlook…
And now, I’ve laid out a detailed plan on how you too can start targeting these winners…
We develop tools and strategies to the best of our ability, but no one can guarantee the future. There is always a risk of loss when trading. Past Performance is not indicative of future results.The live trades published in real time during 6/20/2025 – 8/15/2025 produced an 83.2% win rate with an average return of 25.87% for the same hold time. We cannot guarantee future results using the strategy displayed. There is always a high degree of risk involved in trading.
