>>>Join Nate and I at 3:30 PM ET for Closing Playbook — we’ll cover the day’s most important, actionable trading opportunities, education, strategies and more!<<<
I know you’ve probably heard the old Wall Street saying “Sell in May and go away,” but have you ever really dug into what the data shows us about the flip side of that equation?
Because what I’ve been analyzing recently tells a compelling story about where we are right now in the calendar.
When I break down the seasonal patterns, it becomes crystal clear why some folks suggest staying away from the summer months. The numbers don’t lie — June typically runs flat, August turns negative, and September historically shows negative performance as well. It’s no wonder traders get skittish during those periods.
The Most Bullish Quarter Emerges
But here’s where it gets interesting…
On the flip side of those sluggish summer months, you can see just how good October, November and December usually perform. In fact, these three months together represent the most bullish quarter for stocks.
We’re not talking about minor improvements here — we’re looking at historically strong, consistent performance that stands out when you examine the data.
What really caught my attention in my recent analysis is how October specifically ranks as the third-best seasonal month. But it gets even more granular than that…
When I break it down further, the first half of October emerges as the third best two-week period in the S&P all year long. That’s remarkably specific data that can help us time our positioning.
Timing Your Market Entry
This isn’t just about knowing October is generally good — it’s about understanding that the first half of the month typically generates the lion’s share of the gain.
This kind of bi-monthly pattern analysis goes way beyond simple monthly averages and gives us a much more precise framework for decision-making.
The beauty of this approach is that we’re not relying on gut feelings or market sentiment. We’ve got statistical backing that shows this historically favorable period, and that gives us confidence in positioning ourselves accordingly.
When you see patterns this consistent over time, it becomes a valuable tool in your trading arsenal. Stay tuned, because there’s plenty more seasonal patterns to discuss — we’ll do that and more at 3:30 p.m. ET on Opening Playbook!
Graham Lindman
Graham Lindman Trading
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*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. It’s Time to Join Today’s Edition of Closing Playbook!
Nate and I have a big Closing Playbook session line up as usual for 3:30 p.m. ET today…
✅ What happened today in the markets
✅ Where they’ll be looking opportunity (or possibly overnight tonight)
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