Something’s seriously off with this market right now…
While everyone’s celebrating and the VIX is sitting at historic lows — though it’s finally bouncing today, up 18% but still under 20 — I made a move that might surprise you.
I shifted over $100,000 of my big account into cash and bonds. Yeah, you heard that right. I’m in boring bonds.
I know it sounds crazy when the market looks so calm on the surface, today’s pretty sharp move aside, but here’s what I’m seeing that has me concerned…
The Disconnect That’s Keeping Me Up at Night
Volatility products aren’t even moving despite massive daily swings — and that’s absolutely insane. We’re talking about 100+ point moves in major indices, yet the so-called fear gauge is acting like we’re in some kind of steady-state paradise.
This is what I call a Ferrari with a Toyota motor. The market looks strong and flashy on the outside, but under the hood? It’s running on something that doesn’t match what you think you’re getting.
When volatility products stop responding to obvious market stress, it tells me there’s institutional manipulation happening — and that typically comes right before major corrections.
Where I’m Putting My Money Instead
So what did I do? I moved significant capital into 1-3 year Treasury bonds yielding over 4%. Not the most exciting trade, but sometimes boring is exactly what you need.
Look, I’m not completely sitting on the sidelines. I’m still running my 4 PM Payout Plan with small, speculative positions each day — that keeps me engaged without risking serious capital in what I see as an unhealthy market environment.
The market makers have been consistently wrong in recent sessions, way undershooting the intraday moves. And when you combine that with extreme complacency, the whole thing feels like a house of cards.
Sometimes the best trade is the one you don’t make. While everyone else is chasing this rally, I’m protecting capital and waiting for better opportunities.
Don’t get caught up in the euphoria — stay sharp out there.
Order Flow:
This is for informational and educational purposes only. These are not official alerts issued by Lance, but rather some interesting orders picked by the team at Lance Ippolito Trading.
When you look at these plays, always take the market maker move into consideration.
You can be right on the direction but still lose money if the stock doesn’t move enough. That’s where the market maker move comes in clutch.
With puts, they’re often downside hedges in case a stock tanks, especially around earnings. The further out of the money they are, the more likely they are to be hedges.
Also be sure and check when the company’s earnings date is because many of the plays we post here are centered around earnings!
And finally, always remember the golden rule when it comes to buying calls: Buy dips, sell rips — and don’t chase!
If a stock’s moved a ton already today, maybe wait for a pullback.
There is inherent risk in trading. Trade at your own risk.
Note: If no date is listed after the month, it’s the monthly expiration (third Friday).
The team at Lance Ippolito Trading
Lance doesn’t want the CCP spying on him, so you’ll never find him on TikTok. Same goes for other social media sites, which are filled with impersonators, scammers and crypto bros.
You can only find him on his personal YouTube Channel — smash that Subscribe button! https://www.youtube.com/@LanceIppolito
And in his private Telegram channel: https://t.me/+-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx
Important Note: No one from The TradingPub team or any of its associated brands will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. We’ve Nailed 111 Wins Out of 125 Trades Using My Daily Setup
Now that you’ve seen how potent our daily setup has been over the last couple months…
I wanted to let you in on the latest update.
This is our bid to capitalize on July’s Final Push using the 4PM Payout Plan.
Granted, we can’t guarantee the market will go our way, but if you’d like to trade along with us…
Now’s the time to lock in a membership to the 4PM Payout Plan in time for the next trade going out tomorrow morning.
