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Everyone’s asking when the AI bubble will burst, and I’ve got a contrarian view that might surprise you. While most analysts are calling for an imminent correction in AI stocks and the broader Technology sector, I think we’re missing the bigger picture here.
Look, I don’t think this bubble bursts until OpenAI goes public. And here’s the thing — I don’t know when they’re going to be ready for that IPO. This timing uncertainty is exactly why I believe the current market environment has more runway than the bears expect.
The IPO Top Signal Theory
History shows us that major bubbles often reach their peak when the most coveted private companies finally go public. Think about it — when retail investors finally get access to what they perceive as the crown jewel of a sector, that’s typically when euphoria reaches its maximum.
OpenAI represents that crown jewel for the AI revolution.
Until that moment arrives, I expect continued strength in AI-related names and the broader Tech sector. The anticipation and FOMO around eventually getting access to OpenAI shares is actually fueling more investment into publicly traded AI proxies.
It’s a fascinating market dynamic that most people aren’t considering.
Full Transparency on My Position
Now, I need to be completely transparent with you — I’m talking my book here because I’m an investor in OpenAI. This gives me both insight and bias that I want you to understand.
My personal stake means I have access to information that reinforces my bullish view, but it also means I’m not exactly a neutral observer because I have skin in the game.
That said, my investment thesis isn’t just wishful thinking. The uncertainty around OpenAI’s public debut timing actually supports the idea that this market cycle has more time to run. When you don’t know exactly when the potential top signal will appear, it suggests the current environment could persist longer than most anticipate.
The key here is staying flexible with your positioning while recognizing that major market turning points often coincide with landmark IPOs. Until OpenAI rings the opening bell or something else major happens, I’m maintaining my constructive outlook on this space.
Order Flow:
This is for informational and educational purposes only. These are not official alerts issued by Lance, but rather some interesting orders picked by the team at Lance Ippolito Trading.
When you look at these plays, always take the market maker move into consideration.
You can be right on the direction but still lose money if the stock doesn’t move enough. That’s where the market maker move comes in clutch.
With puts, they’re often downside hedges in case a stock tanks, especially around earnings. The further out of the money they are, the more likely they are to be hedges.
Also be sure and check when the company’s earnings date is because many of the plays we post here are centered around earnings!
If a stock is really expensive, consider a spread to lower the cost.
And finally, always remember the golden rule when it comes to buying calls: Buy dips, sell rips — and don’t chase!
If a stock’s moved a ton already today, maybe wait for a pullback.
There is inherent risk in trading. Trade at your own risk.
Note: If no date is listed after the month, it’s the monthly expiration (third Friday).
The team at Lance Ippolito Trading
Lance doesn’t want the CCP spying on him, so you’ll never find him on TikTok. Same goes for other social media sites, which are filled with impersonators, scammers and crypto bros.
You can only find him on his personal YouTube Channel — smash that Subscribe button! https://www.youtube.com/@LanceIppolito
And in his private Telegram channel: https://t.me/+-gVwEIwGJhplMTgx
Important Note: No one from the team at Lance Ippolito Trading, New Money Crew or any of its associated brands will ever contact you directly on Telegram.
*This is for informational and educational purposes only. There is inherent risk in trading, so trade at your own risk.
P.S. I Just Published This Week’s Top Names
I’m keeping this momentum going with the top names being flagged for explosive moves.
If all goes as planned, they could result in gains of 2x or more, oftentimes overnight because a lot of these babies move fast…
